Statistical forecasting

[#1]

Overview

The following is a guide for theStatistical Forecasting Calculation Engine Models(monthly and weekly).It includes enablement videos, practice data import exercise, model documentation, and specific steps when using the model forimplementations.

1. Enablement videos and practice exercise

#	Item	Details	Link
1a	Intro and overview video	Model overview and review of new key features	Video below
1b	Initial model and data import steps	Steps on how to setup model, product hierarchy, customer list and multi-level forecast analysis	Video below
1c	Practice exercise: import data to set up stat forecast	Two sets of load files included to practice setup for single level product set or multi-level product set with customers, product and brand level Start on "Initial App Setup" dashboard and loadeither Single OR Multi Level filesinto model, and use import video as guide if needed	.zip file attached

2. Documentation

#	Item	Details	Link
2a	Lucidchart Process Maps	Lucidchart过程地图文档includes high-level process flow for end-user navigation and detailed tabs for each section. Details & links also on "Training & Enablement" dashboard.	Process Maps
2b	High-level process map PDF	High-level process map PDF format	Attached
2c	Forecast methods PDFs	High-level version with forecast algorithms list and overview. Detailed version which includes a slide for each forecast method, method overview, advantages/disadvantages, equation and graph example output. These slides are also included on "Forecast Methods Overview & Formulas" dashboard.	Attached

3. Implementation specifics

#	Item	Details
3a	Training and enablement dashboard	Training & enablementdashboard contains details on process map navigation.
3b	Initial model setup	Initial Setup: current model staged with chocolate data from data hub, executeCLEAR MODELaction prior to loading customer-specific data.
3c	Changing model time scale—align native and dynamic time settings	If a Time Settings change is required, reviewInitial App Setupdashboard to align native time with dynamic time setup in model
3d	Monthly update process	After initial setup, useMonthly Data History Uploaddashboard to update prior period actuals and settings
3e	Single level vs. Multi-level forecast setup	两个implementation options and when to use: Single level forecast:Forecast at one level of product hierarchy (i.e. all stat forecasts calculated at Item level). Most use cases will leverage single level forecast setup. Multi-level forecast:Ability to forecast at different levels of the product hierarchy (i.e. Top Item | Customers, Item and Brand level can all have stat forecast generated). This requires a complex forecast reconciliation process, review "Multi-Level Forecast Overview" dashboard if this process is needed.
3f	Troubleshooting tips	Follow troubleshooting tips on培训和支持dashboard if there are issues with stat forecast generating before reaching out for support
3g	Model notes and documentation	Module Notes (includes DISCO classification and module purpose)
3h	"Do Not Modify" Items	Module notes containDO NOT MODIFYfor items that should not be changed during the implementation process
3i	User roles and Selective Access	Demo,Demand Planner,Demand Planning Managerroles can be adjusted After Selective Access process run onFlat List Managementdashboard; then users can be given access to certain product groups/brands etc.
3j	Batch processing	Details on daily batch processing and how to prepare a roadmap of your batch processes (files, queries, import actions/processes in Anaplan). See attachment.

4.视频

• Intro, model intro and overview video

• Data import and setup steps

5. Model download links

• Monthly Statistical Forecasting Calculation Engine
• Weekly Statistical Forecasting Calculation Engine

[CharlesKNti]

Good Morning,

Seem to be have trouble using the link to download this app to my workspace, keep getting an error message 'illegal Argument'. Anybody else currently having this problem?

Regards.

Charles

[usman.zia]

Hi Charles,

I've checked this and it works for me, maybe your workspace is at capacity?

Thanks,

Usman

[erin.lauterbach]

@CharlesKNtihave seen this issue for a few other people, if you email support@anaplan.com they can help you get the model into your workspace.

[gjronyo]

@CharlesKNtiI didn't have any issues as well with downloading this model

[AlejandroGomez]

Hi all,

I am Charles' co-worker.

Thank you all for your help. I just want to point out that we tried to download it with either Chrome and Firefox (both, regular and incognito/ private navigation mode) on top of Microsoft Edge, and the issue persists.

Our WS is only 3% full, so there should be enough space for this app.

EDIT: Finally, the only way to get the models in our WS was raising a ticket to the suppor team, and they got it all sorted. So, thanks Simon Stevens for downloading these models in our WS.

Cheers,

Alex.

[TimG]

When checking the Source Models and Import Data Sources there are two other models listed.

Do I need to download and manage those as well?

[erin.lauterbach]

@TimGno those models are not needed. The model is already staged with generic data or you can clear and import a new data set from .csv files following the data setup process if needed.

[michael.jones]

There is no content on the dashboard called 'Single Level Final Forecast Export'